The Vice Presidential Candidate of the New Patriotic Party (NPP), Dr Mahama has suggested that some members of the current government don’t read and understand his submissions on the economy before responding.
“What is clear to me (and confirms my long held suspicion) is that members of this government, handed the mandate to manage our destinies as a nation, do not read. Worse of all, as I said on 14th February, 2015, at a forum at the University for Development Studies, what is most unfortunate about this whole episode is the fact that the government doesn’t even seem to know how much it has borrowed,” he said in his latest statement on Wednesday.
The former Deputy Governor of the Bank of Ghana was responding to the Ministry of Communications’ response to his recent lecture at UDS.
The Communication Ministry had described as false and misleading, claims by, Dr. Mahamadu Bawumia the NDC government had increased Ghana’s debt.
The government further said, Bawumia comments were meant to “create doubts about the unprecedented investments made in all spheres of our national life by President John Dramani Mahama’s Government” “It is instructive that after years of living in denial that these projects exist, he has finally acknowledged their existence except that he wants to tread down the path of discrediting them for partisan gain,”
However, in a statement issued Wednesday, Dr Bawumia said it is clear the government is committed to either not reading or understanding the extent of their reckless borrowing or is only following their usual path of deceit and propaganda.
Below is the full statement
I have just read a statement from the Ministry of Communications purporting to respond to the issues I read at the University for Development Studies, Wa Campus concerning the propagandist claims of the current government on infrastructural investments under their administration.
1. Debt Figures
What is clear to me (and confirms my long held suspicion) is that members of this government, handed the mandate to manage our destinies as a nation, do not read. Worse of all, as I said on 14th February, 2015, at a forum at the University for Development Studies, what is most unfortunate about this whole episode is the fact that the government doesn’t even seem to know how much it has borrowed. I have on several occasions tried to educate the government on what the true value of their borrowing is but try as I do, it is clear the government is committed to either not reading and understanding the extent of their reckless borrowing or is only following their usual path of deceit and propaganda.
For the benefit of the people of Ghana, I reproduce my comments on this issue contained in the NPP’s Response to the 2016 Budget, delivered on 2nd December 2015 and pray that this time, members of government will read and be informed.
“In the last seven years alone under this NDC government Ghana’s total debt has ballooned from GH¢9.5billion to a projected GH¢99billion by the end of 2015! Of this, GHC54 billion ($14 billion) is external debt and GH¢45 billion is domestic debt. What is clear is that 90% (i.e. GH¢89.5 billion) of Ghana’s total debt since independence has been accumulated under this NDC government between 2009-2015.
It is also important to appreciate the quantum of borrowing that has actually taken place in the last seven years to set the record straight. In US dollar terms, this NDC government has borrowed the equivalent (at the time of borrowing) of about $37 billion in seven years!! (Table 2).
Table 2. (attached) shows the Dollar Value of Government Borrowing (2009-2015) – Billions*
Contrary to what the government will have us believe, exchange rate depreciation has rather reduced the book value of Ghana’s debt in dollar terms. So that even though government has borrowed the equivalent of $37 billion in 7 years, the book value of the debt would be some $26 billion (GH¢ 99 billion) by the end of 2015. It is important to understand this point because it appears that this government does not.
Take the following example. Assume that today the exchange rate of the cedi to the dollar is 1:1. If you borrow GHC100 today, it would mean that you have borrowed the equivalent of $100 dollars and you should be able to do projects worth $100. In a few years time if the exchange rate depreciates to 4 cedis to one dollar, then the 100 cedis you borrowed a few years ago would be worth some $25 today. This does not however mean that you did not borrow the equivalent of a $100 dollars initially and we should expect to see a $100 worth of projects. You cannot suddenly claim that you actually borrowed $25 a few years ago and so you are only to account for $25 worth of projects. Using current exchange rates in determining the equivalent amount borrowed in the past is misleading because it ignores the value of the debt at the time it was borrowed. Using current exchange rates would underestimate the value of the borrowing because of exchange rate depreciation. We are here concerned about the value of the projects that could have been financed at the time the money was borrowed.”
Giving the rate of borrowing by this government, it is likely that the total debt at the end of January now exceeds the GH¢99billlion, projected for the end of 2015.
It is interesting to note that according to the Minister of Finance in his 2015 Mid-Year Review, “Ghana’s total public debt stock as at end-December, 2014 stood at GH¢79,665.5 million……….In dollar terms, the debt stock was US$24,817.1 million, representing an increase of 3.3 percent from the end-2013 stock of US$24,021.2 million.” (Page 24, Paragraph 79) (http://www.mofep.gov.gh/…/budg…/2015%20Mid-Year%20Review.pdf )
Amazingly, after adding some GH¢20 billion to the debt stock in 2015 alone, the Government still wants to insist that the value of borrowing they have done, in dollar terms, has actually decreased. This exposes the deception in the method the government is applying on our debt stock, in attempt to hide the real value of monies that have accrued to them.
2. Capital Expenditure Numbers
One other lie told by the government in the release put out by the Minister of Communications, was the false claim that Capital Expenditure averaged 5.6 between 2001 and 2008. I doubt the Finance Ministry handed these figures to the Minister but whatever be the case, it exposes the level of incompetent and deceitful governance we have today.
The Facts
These are the Capital Expenditure to GDP figures between 2001 and 2008.
YEAR
Capital Expenditure / GDP
2001
12.8
2002
6.1
2003
8.9
2004
12.4
2005
12.0
2006
12.4
2007
14.2
2008
15.7